In Praise of Canvassers
It is still, by far, the most reliable campaign method of actually getting someone to turn out to vote.
What It Took for a Democrat to Win in Last Week’s Mid-Terms
A few lessons from Colorado's Governor John Hickenlooper, one of the only purple state Democratic governors to win re-election last week.
Would a Gridlocked Republican Congress Help Democrats in 2016?
Looking at the historical data, we can tell that voters do not seem to punish a party for running a gridlocked Congress in the next presidential election.
That Time the Polls Were Wrong
As Election Day approaches, a reminder that polling, while generally quite reliable, has a few blind spots.
When Disease Becomes Political: The Likely Electoral Fallout From Ebola
Will voters blame President Obama—and punish Democrats in the upcoming mid-term elections—for a climate of fear?
Republicans Stand to Make Gains in State Legislatures
And that's a much bigger deal than whether or not a few seats shift in the House of Representatives.
Does Forecasting an Election Change the Outcome?
If Nate Silver tells you that one candidate has a 90 percent chance of winning, why bother to vote?
Freaking Out About Outliers: When the Polls Are Way Off
The idea of such a small number of people being used to predict how millions will vote sometimes irks observers, but it's actually a very reliable process—most of the time.
