Weather Forecasts Are Getting Better and Better—but They're Under Threat
Accurate weather forecasts can provide strong economic benefits to Americans and save lives—but only if weather data remains accessible.
Forecasting
What Makes a Reliable Forecast for Big Storms?
It's all about which model you look at, European or American.
Does Forecasting an Election Change the Outcome?
If Nate Silver tells you that one candidate has a 90 percent chance of winning, why bother to vote?
Political Scientist Forecasted the Central African Republic Genocide
A conversation about the grim business of predicting mass atrocities.
The Goofy Origins and Dismal Track Record of Economic Forecasting
In Fortune Tellers, Walter Friedman shows not only where our contemporary forecasting ecosystem came from, but also its considerable influence on present-day economic thought and practice.