The Democratic Primary Field Is Not as Wide Open as It Seems
By looking at which campaigns experienced staffers choose to work for, one can see which candidates the party is seriously signaling as potential nominees.
Viewfinder: Polling Stations for General Elections in Sierra Leone
A man casts his ballot for the general elections, on March 7th, 2018, at a polling station in Freetown, Sierra Leone.
The 30 Top Thinkers Under 30: The Survey Leader for Barack Obama’s Campaign Still Helping Progressive Politicians
We canvassed the world of the social and behavioral sciences, looking for rising stars whose careers promise to make a lasting mark. We'll be profiling the top 30 throughout the month of April.
Stop Writing About Polls Comparing Obama to Frank Underwood
The results are misleading, and tell us more about our own insecurities than they do Obama's popularity.
The Strengths and Weaknesses of Interviews in Political Coverage
Actually talking to voters can be invaluable. It can also lead you to believe things that are completely wrong.
Freaking Out About Outliers: When the Polls Are Way, Way Off
The idea of such a small number of people being used to predict how millions will vote sometimes irks observers, but it's actually a very reliable process—most of the time.
Nate Silver, PPP and the Use and Abuse of Polling in American Politics
Last week's fight over PPP's decision to hold back the results of a poll highlight how too many pollsters operating in the political sphere take an Ivory Tower attitude, disavowing responsibility for the consequences of their work.
We All Want More of Everything—Except Taxes
How are politicians supposed to take cues from their constituents when polls don't account for economic realities?
Gay Marriage: A Country Is Moving, Its People Not So Much
Comparing a multi-year study of attitudes with other surveys suggests that America's growing acceptance of gay marriage does not necessarily mean that individual feelings have shifted.
Obama Approval Rating Most Polarized Ever at This Point
Obama administration gains another first — most divided debut year since polling began.