It's the conditions of the economy, the popularity of the incumbent party, and the state of foreign relations that really affect a presidential nominee's chances—not their race or gender.
A woman walks through a roadblock mounted by supporters of the LIBRE opposition party in the El Carrizal neighborhood of Tegucigalpa on January 27th, 2019.
The study pinpoints a particular area and time period where climate change had a profound impact: countries affected by the Arab Spring between 2010 and 2012.